Agent skill

Epi Demand Funnel

by hh-health-AI in hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity

This skill should be used when the user asks for "TAM", "addressable population", "peak sales", "epi model", "how many patients", "bottoms-up market size", "penetration assumption", or wants to…

MITAuto-check passedTesting & QA

Install Epi Demand Funnel

skills CLI
$ npx skills add hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity --skill epi-demand-funnel -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI
$ gh skill install hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity epi-demand-funnel --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/modules/epi-demand/skills/epi-demand-funnel .claude/skills/epi-demand-funnel && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Facts

Skill name
epi-demand-funnel
GitHub stars
101
Token cost
~822 tokens
SKILL.md length
417 words
Files
2 (incl. references)
Skills in repo
72
Repo updated
First seen
Licence
MIT

At a glance

This skill should be used when the user asks for "TAM", "addressable population", "peak sales", "epi model", "how many patients", "bottoms-up market size", "penetration assumption", or wants to…

  • Works in 9 steps: Fix the population base. Incidence for… → Apply the diagnosis rate, with a source.… → Apply label eligibility. Line of… → …
  • Addressable population
  • SKILL.md covers Workflow, Where funnels go wrong, in… and Not-automatic
  • Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

Epi Demand Funnel is an agent skill from hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity. This skill should be used when the user asks for "TAM", "addressable population", "peak sales", "epi model", "how many patients", "bottoms-up market size", "penetration assumption", or wants to build or stress-test the patient funnel underneath a revenue forecast.

Its SKILL.md is about 820 tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. The skill folder holds 2 other files, including reference files (for example `references/funnel-sources.md`).

It sits in Testing & QA, covering Load testing. The repository describes itself as: Synthesis engine for buy-side healthcare equity research. The licence is MIT.

When your agent uses it

  • Addressable population
  • How many patients
  • Bottoms-up market size
  • Penetration assumption

Example prompts

  • “addressable population”
  • “peak sales”
  • “epi model”
  • “/epi-demand-funnel”

Workflow steps

9 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

  1. Fix the population base. Incidence for acute or newly-diagnosed populations;
  2. Apply the diagnosis rate, with a source. This is where funnels break. Many
  3. Apply label eligibility. Line of therapy, biomarker prevalence, severity
  4. Apply the treated rate, then share, then duration and adherence.
  5. Apply net price per patient-year, taken from rx-utilization →
  6. Show the sensitivity. Identify the two steps with the widest ranges and tornado
  7. Cross-check against the coded procedure or claims view. a procedure-exposure engine →
  8. Instrument it. Name the observable that would confirm the funnel post-launch —
  9. Emit the brief.

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 6c7bda8. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

  • Tool permissions

    Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

    From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

  • Runs code

    No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md.

    From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

  • Network

    No URLs in SKILL.md.

    From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

  • Credentials

    Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

    From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Epi Demand Funnel loads about 822 tokens when it runs, and up to ~1.5k if it reads all its reference files. Until then it costs about 71 tokens; SKILL.md has 417 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it
~71
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches
~822
With references · SKILL.md plus every file in references/, read only if the agent opens them
~1.5k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity at commit 6c7bda8, republished under its MIT licence (© hh-health-AI). 417 words, ~822 tokens.

Download SKILL.mdSave it as .claude/skills/epi-demand-funnel/SKILL.md (or your agent's skills folder). This skill also uses 1 other file; get the full folder from GitHub.
name
epi-demand-funnel
description
This skill should be used when the user asks for "TAM", "addressable population", "peak sales", "epi model", "how many patients", "bottoms-up market size", "penetration assumption", or wants to build or stress-test the patient funnel underneath a revenue forecast.
metadata.version
0.1.0
metadata.layer
Commercial

Epidemiology demand funnel

Build the patient funnel underneath a peak-sales number, sourcing every step separately and showing where the estimate is actually fragile.

Workflow

  1. Fix the population base. Incidence for acute or newly-diagnosed populations; prevalence for chronic ones. Getting this wrong is a first-order error: an incidence drug modelled off prevalence overstates by the disease duration. Sources: SEER for cancer, CDC WONDER for mortality and natality, NHANES and BRFSS for prevalence of chronic conditions, USRDS for dialysis, published registries for rare disease.
  2. Apply the diagnosis rate, with a source. This is where funnels break. Many chronic diseases run diagnosis rates well below half. If no diagnosis rate is available, say so, use a range, and flag the funnel as unanchored at this step.
  3. Apply label eligibility. Line of therapy, biomarker prevalence, severity threshold, age band, contraindications. Biomarker prevalence should come from the literature and, where available, from ChEMBL or genomic databases — not from the company's investor deck.
  4. Apply the treated rate, then share, then duration and adherence. Persistence is the most commonly over-assumed variable in chronic therapy models; real-world discontinuation frequently runs far above trial discontinuation.
  5. Apply net price per patient-year, taken from rx-utilization → gross-to-net-bridge rather than from list price.
  6. Show the sensitivity. Identify the two steps with the widest ranges and tornado the peak-sales figure against them. The output the desk needs is not a point estimate but "peak sales is $2.1bn ± $900m, and almost all the variance is diagnosis rate and persistence".
  7. Cross-check against the coded procedure or claims view. a procedure-exposure engine → exposure-map gives an ICD-10-anchored count. If the epidemiological funnel and the coded volume disagree by more than a factor of two, one of them is wrong and the funnel is usually the guilty party.
  8. Instrument it. Name the observable that would confirm the funnel post-launch — typically SDUD or Part D volume at a stated month — and hand it to the watcher.
  9. Emit the brief.
Show full SKILL.md (89 more words)Show less

Where funnels go wrong, in order of frequency

  1. Skipping the diagnosis rate.
  2. Prevalence used for an incidence-driven product.
  3. Trial persistence applied to the real world.
  4. Biomarker prevalence taken from the sponsor's deck.
  5. Assuming the eligible population is the treated population.
  6. Ignoring competitive share loss at the exact point of peak.

Not-automatic

An epidemiological funnel does not license a revenue forecast on its own. Without an observed volume series to calibrate against, it is an upper bound with a shape.

Reference: references/funnel-sources.md. Contract: ../../references/evidence-brief.md.

© hh-health-AI, MIT. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file

Files

SKILL.md and 1 other file (references) in modules/epi-demand/skills/epi-demand-funnel of hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity.

  • SKILL.md
  • references/funnel-sources.md

Open the folder on GitHubat commit 6c7bda8

Compare with similar skills

Epi Demand Funnel next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

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Ecta Robustnessfranklee16/academic-research-skills2231 repos~1.4kAutomated safety check: PassNone
Jcr Topic Selectionfranklee16/academic-research-skills2231 repos~1kAutomated safety check: PassNone

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Questions about Epi Demand Funnel

What does Epi Demand Funnel do?

This skill should be used when the user asks for "TAM", "addressable population", "peak sales", "epi model", "how many patients", "bottoms-up market size", "penetration assumption", or wants to…. Epi Demand Funnel is an agent skill from hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity. This skill should be used when the user asks for "TAM", "addressable population", "peak sales", "epi model", "how many patients", "bottoms-up market size", "penetration assumption", or wants to build or stress-test the patient funnel underneath a revenue forecast.

When should I use Epi Demand Funnel?

Epi Demand Funnel fits situations like: addressable population; how many patients; bottoms-up market size; penetration assumption.

How do I install Epi Demand Funnel in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity --skill epi-demand-funnel -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (modules/epi-demand/skills/epi-demand-funnel in hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity) into .claude/skills/epi-demand-funnel in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install Epi Demand Funnel in Codex?

Run `npx skills add hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity --skill epi-demand-funnel -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (modules/epi-demand/skills/epi-demand-funnel in hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity) into .agents/skills/epi-demand-funnel in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use Epi Demand Funnel in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity --skill epi-demand-funnel -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/epi-demand-funnel, .gemini/skills/epi-demand-funnel, .github/skills/epi-demand-funnel and .opencode/skills/epi-demand-funnel in your project.

What does Epi Demand Funnel need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Epi Demand Funnel is instructions for the agent only.

Does Epi Demand Funnel access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is Epi Demand Funnel safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does Epi Demand Funnel use?

Epi Demand Funnel is published under the MIT licence (the repository's licence). It allows redistribution, so the full SKILL.md is shown on this page.

How many tokens does Epi Demand Funnel use?

About 822 tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 3.3k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full. Its references folder adds about 723 tokens, read only when the agent opens those files.

What are the alternatives to Epi Demand Funnel?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with Epi Demand Funnel: Get Available Resources (K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills, 48k stars), What If Oracle (LeonChaoX/qinyan-academic-skills, 944 stars), Cpa Identification (franklee16/academic-research-skills, 223 stars) and Ecta Robustness (franklee16/academic-research-skills, 223 stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains Epi Demand Funnel?

hh-health-AI (a GitHub user) maintains it in hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity, which has 101 GitHub stars. The repository holds 72 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on October 8, 2026.

Source: hh-health-AI/healthcare-equity on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.