Agent skill

Counterfactual Reasoning

by THUYRan in THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese

Trigger this skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact, act, or condition did not exist or were altered.

No licenceAuto-check passedLegal & Compliance

Install Counterfactual Reasoning

skills CLI
$ npx skills add THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese --skill counterfactual-reasoning -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI
$ gh skill install THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese counterfactual-reasoning --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/English/skills/counterfactual-reasoning .claude/skills/counterfactual-reasoning && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Facts

Skill name
counterfactual-reasoning
GitHub stars
874
Token cost
~12k tokens
SKILL.md length
3,237 words
Files
1
Skills in repo
71
Repo updated
First seen
Licence
None found

At a glance

Trigger this skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact, act, or condition did not exist or were altered.

  • Works in 10 steps: Identify the Need for Counterfactual… → Precisely Define the Target Variable → Precisely Define the Outcome Variable → …
  • This skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact
  • SKILL.md covers I. Overview Table, II. Legal Disclaimer, III. Core Concepts and IV. Complete Workflow, plus 5 more sections
  • Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

Counterfactual Reasoning is an agent skill from THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese. Trigger this skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact, act, or condition did not exist or were altered. Typical trigger scenarios include: causation determinations (whether harm would still have occurred without the act), allocation of fault and liability shares, delimiting the scope of damages, calculating contract breach losses, hypothetical legality tests for administrative acts, assessing interruption of criminal causation, and legislative impact assessment. The core…

Its SKILL.md is about 12k tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. It is a single SKILL.md file with no bundled scripts.

It sits in Legal & Compliance.

When your agent uses it

  • This skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact
  • Condition did not exist
  • Scenarios include: causation determinations (whether harm would still have occurred without the act)
  • Allocation of fault and liability shares

Example prompts

  • “counterfactual world”
  • “/counterfactual-reasoning”

Workflow steps

10 steps, taken from the step headings in SKILL.md.

  1. Identify the Need for Counterfactual Reasoning
  2. Precisely Define the Target Variable
  3. Precisely Define the Outcome Variable
  4. Lock Background Conditions
  5. Construct the Counterfactual World
  6. Project Outcomes in the Counterfactual World
  7. Compare the Two Worlds
  8. Extract Legal Conclusions from the Comparison
  9. Confidence Assessment and Qualifications
  10. Integrate into the Overall Legal Analysis

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit c31ef1f. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

  • Tool permissions

    Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

    From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

  • Runs code

    No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are markdown).

    From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

  • Network

    No URLs in SKILL.md.

    From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

  • Credentials

    Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

    From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Counterfactual Reasoning loads about 12k tokens when it runs. Until then it costs about 193 tokens; SKILL.md has 3,237 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it
~193
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches
~12k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

Without a licence we can't republish the file, so here is its outline and opening line. It has 3,237 words (~12,412 tokens).

“Counterfactual reasoning is a hypothetical method of causal analysis. Its core logical structure is:”

— opening of SKILL.md by THUYRan
name
counterfactual-reasoning

Read the full SKILL.md on GitHub

Files

Just SKILL.md in English/skills/counterfactual-reasoning of THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese.

Open the folder on GitHubat commit c31ef1f

Compare with similar skills

Counterfactual Reasoning next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

Counterfactual Reasoning compared with similar skills
SkillStarsUsed inTokensAuto-checkLicenceRepo updated
Counterfactual Reasoning this skillTHUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese874—~12kAutomated safety check: PassNone
Paper to Chinese Patent DrafterYuan1z0825/nature-skills47k1 repos~1.1kAutomated safety check: PassApache-2.0
C15tc15t/c15t1.9k1 repos~1.6kAutomated safety check: PassApache-2.0
Contract Reviewevolsb/claude-legal-skill4641 repos~3.6kAutomated safety check: PassMIT
Legal Clinic Client Intakeanthropics/claude-for-legal9.6k3 repos~3.2kAutomated safety check: PassApache-2.0
Paper To Cn Patentsnipp-zha/Paper-to-patent-Skill1071 repos~959Automated safety check: PassNone

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Questions about Counterfactual Reasoning

What does Counterfactual Reasoning do?

Trigger this skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact, act, or condition did not exist or were altered. Counterfactual Reasoning is an agent skill from THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese. Trigger this skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact, act, or condition did not exist or were altered.

When should I use Counterfactual Reasoning?

Counterfactual Reasoning fits situations like: this skill when you need to assess how legal outcomes would differ if a given fact; condition did not exist; scenarios include: causation determinations (whether harm would still have occurred without the act); allocation of fault and liability shares.

How do I install Counterfactual Reasoning in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese --skill counterfactual-reasoning -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (English/skills/counterfactual-reasoning in THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese) into .claude/skills/counterfactual-reasoning in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install Counterfactual Reasoning in Codex?

Run `npx skills add THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese --skill counterfactual-reasoning -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (English/skills/counterfactual-reasoning in THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese) into .agents/skills/counterfactual-reasoning in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use Counterfactual Reasoning in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese --skill counterfactual-reasoning -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/counterfactual-reasoning, .gemini/skills/counterfactual-reasoning, .github/skills/counterfactual-reasoning and .opencode/skills/counterfactual-reasoning in your project.

What does Counterfactual Reasoning need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Counterfactual Reasoning is instructions for the agent only.

Does Counterfactual Reasoning access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is Counterfactual Reasoning safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does Counterfactual Reasoning use?

No licence was found for Counterfactual Reasoning or its repository. Without one, default copyright applies: ask the author before reusing or redistributing it.

How many tokens does Counterfactual Reasoning use?

About 12k tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 50k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full.

What are the alternatives to Counterfactual Reasoning?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with Counterfactual Reasoning: Paper to Chinese Patent Drafter (Yuan1z0825/nature-skills, 47k stars), C15t (c15t/c15t, 1.9k stars), Contract Review (evolsb/claude-legal-skill, 464 stars) and Legal Clinic Client Intake (anthropics/claude-for-legal, 9.6k stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains Counterfactual Reasoning?

THUYRan (a GitHub user) maintains it in THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese, which has 874 GitHub stars. The repository holds 71 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on August 22, 2026.

Source: THUYRan/Legal-Skills-Chinese on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.