Agent skill

Catalyst Confirmation

by Superior-Trade in Superior-Trade/superior-skills

MITAuto-check passedBusiness, Finance & HR

Install Catalyst Confirmation

skills CLI

$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills catalyst-confirmation --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/catalyst-confirmation .claude/skills/catalyst-confirmation && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Paste into Claude Code

Install the "catalyst-confirmation" agent skill from https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation into .claude/skills/catalyst-confirmation/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "catalyst-confirmation", then confirm the skill loads.

Claude Code copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

$skill-installer

$skill-installer install https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation

Type this inside Codex. $skill-installer <name> installs a curated skill from openai/skills. The installer writes to $CODEX_HOME/skills (default ~/.codex/skills). Restart Codex if the skill does not show up.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a codex

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.codex/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills catalyst-confirmation --agent codex

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .agents/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/catalyst-confirmation .agents/skills/catalyst-confirmation && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.agents/skills/ instead of .agents/skills for a personal install.

Codex skills documentation · loads skills from .agents/skills/

Paste into Codex

Install the "catalyst-confirmation" agent skill from https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation into .agents/skills/catalyst-confirmation/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "catalyst-confirmation", then confirm the skill loads.

Codex copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a cursor

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.cursor/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills catalyst-confirmation --agent cursor

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .cursor/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/catalyst-confirmation .cursor/skills/catalyst-confirmation && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.cursor/skills/ instead of .cursor/skills for a personal install.

Cursor skills documentation · loads skills from .cursor/skills/, .agents/skills/, .claude/skills/, .codex/skills/

Paste into Cursor

Install the "catalyst-confirmation" agent skill from https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation into .cursor/skills/catalyst-confirmation/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "catalyst-confirmation", then confirm the skill loads.

Cursor copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

gemini skills install

$ gemini skills install https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git --path skills/catalyst-confirmation

--scope user (default) or --scope workspace; --path is the subfolder of the repo that holds the skill; --consent skips the security confirmation prompt.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a gemini-cli

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.gemini/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills catalyst-confirmation --agent gemini-cli

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .gemini/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/catalyst-confirmation .gemini/skills/catalyst-confirmation && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.gemini/skills/ instead of .gemini/skills for a personal install, then run /skills reload.

Gemini CLI skills documentation · loads skills from .gemini/skills/, .agents/skills/

Paste into Gemini CLI

Install the "catalyst-confirmation" agent skill from https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation into .gemini/skills/catalyst-confirmation/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "catalyst-confirmation", then confirm the skill loads.

Gemini CLI copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills catalyst-confirmation

Installs for Copilot at project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Preview a skill first with gh skill preview. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

skills CLI

$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a github-copilot

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.copilot/skills/.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .github/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/catalyst-confirmation .github/skills/catalyst-confirmation && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.copilot/skills/ instead of .github/skills for a personal install. Commit .github/skills so cloud agent and code review can use it.

GitHub Copilot skills documentation · loads skills from .github/skills/, .claude/skills/, .agents/skills/

Paste into GitHub Copilot

Install the "catalyst-confirmation" agent skill from https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation into .github/skills/catalyst-confirmation/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "catalyst-confirmation", then confirm the skill loads.

GitHub Copilot copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a opencode

OpenCode documents no install command of its own. Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.config/opencode/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills catalyst-confirmation --agent opencode

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .opencode/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/catalyst-confirmation .opencode/skills/catalyst-confirmation && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.config/opencode/skills/ instead of .opencode/skills for a personal install.

OpenCode skills documentation · loads skills from .opencode/skills/, .claude/skills/, .agents/skills/

Paste into OpenCode

Install the "catalyst-confirmation" agent skill from https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills/tree/main/skills/catalyst-confirmation into .opencode/skills/catalyst-confirmation/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "catalyst-confirmation", then confirm the skill loads.

OpenCode copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

Facts

Skill name: catalyst-confirmation
GitHub stars: 214
Token cost: ~667 tokens
SKILL.md length: 290 words
Files: 1
Skills in repo: 31
Repo updated: Sep 10, 2026
First seen: Oct 7, 2026
Licence: MIT

At a glance

Works in 4 steps: Catalyst information may already be… → Market may not map cleanly to the event… → False-positive events can create… → …
A Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI
SKILL.md covers When to use, What the agent should look for, Backtest fit with filled data and Strategy logic, plus 5 more sections
Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

Catalyst Confirmation is an agent skill from Superior-Trade/superior-skills. Use when a Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI, Fed, elections, court rulings, ETF decisions — and needs market confirmation before committing.

Its SKILL.md is about 670 tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. It is a single SKILL.md file with no bundled scripts.

It sits in Business, Finance & HR, covering Trading and backtesting, Stock and market analysis and Essays and academic help. It works with Polymarket. The repository describes itself as: Open agent skills and tool schemas for Superior Trade — build, backtest, and deploy trading strategies on Hyperliquid. The licence is MIT.

When your agent uses it

A Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI
ETF decisions — and needs market confirmation before committing

Example prompts

“/catalyst-confirmation”

Workflow steps

4 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

Catalyst information may already be priced in before timestamp.
Market may not map cleanly to the event framing.
False-positive events can create temporary spikes without follow-through.
Single-event backtests can overfit and fail in fresh conditions.

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 9d41db5. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

Tool permissions
Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.
From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.
Runs code
No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are json).
From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.
Network
No URLs in SKILL.md.
From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.
Credentials
Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.
From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Catalyst Confirmation loads about 667 tokens when it runs. Until then it costs about 50 tokens; SKILL.md has 290 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it: ~50
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches: ~667

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from Superior-Trade/superior-skills at commit 9d41db5, republished under its MIT licence (© Superior-Trade). 290 words, ~667 tokens.

Download SKILL.mdSave it as .claude/skills/catalyst-confirmation/SKILL.md (or your agent's skills folder).

name: catalyst-confirmation
description: Use when a Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI, Fed, elections, court rulings, ETF decisions — and needs market confirmation before committing.
metadata.version: 0.1.0
metadata.updated: 2026-06-17

Strategy: Polymarket · Catalyst Confirmation

When to use

Use this when the user ties a strategy idea to an external event (CPI, Fed, court rulings, ETF, earnings, protocol upgrade, sports injuries) and wants Polymarket behavior to confirm it.

What the agent should look for

Canonical Polymarket market from GET /context/markets?venue=polymarket.
Clear catalyst timestamp or date.
Evidence of filled-trade reaction after the catalyst window.
Enough filled history around the event window.
Confirmation that market question maps directly to the catalyst.

Backtest fit with filled data

Moderate fit. Filled TradeTick backtests can validate whether price reacted and how quickly after timestamps. They do not validate the news source itself or guarantee it remains relevant in future sessions.

This is an archetype template: it should be converted into custom NautilusTrader code and tuned by the user and engine constraints.

Strategy logic

Enter only when the expected directional catalyst outcome appears and a filled-trade confirmation move occurs after the catalyst window.

Nautilus strategy shape

Ignore ticks before the configured catalyst timestamp.
Require a confirmation_move in the right direction within confirmation_window_ticks.
Enter with the configured size only after confirmation.
Exit after exit_after_ticks, on reversal, or near market end.

Example strategyConfig

json

{
  "catalyst_time": "2026-06-12T18:00:00Z",
  "confirmation_move": 0.025,
  "confirmation_window_ticks": 20,
  "order_size": 10,
  "exit_after_ticks": 60
}

Iteration knobs

Knob	Effect
`confirmation_move`	Higher = wait for stronger post-catalyst movement.
`confirmation_window_ticks`	Lower = tighter catalyst-response window.
`exit_after_ticks`	Higher = hold longer for delayed event drift.

Failure modes

Catalyst information may already be priced in before timestamp.
Market may not map cleanly to the event framing.
False-positive events can create temporary spikes without follow-through.
Single-event backtests can overfit and fail in fresh conditions.

User-facing framing

"This is a catalyst-led archetype, not a guaranteed edge. It runs on filled TradeTick history and exact market identifiers, then becomes a starting point for custom Nautilus strategy generation."

Files

Just SKILL.md in skills/catalyst-confirmation of Superior-Trade/superior-skills.

Open the folder on GitHubat commit 9d41db5

Compare with similar skills

Catalyst Confirmation next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

Catalyst Confirmation compared with similar skills
Skill	Stars	Used in	Tokens	Auto-check	Licence	Repo updated
Catalyst Confirmation this skillSuperior-Trade/superior-skills	214	—	~667	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	29 days ago
Digital Oraclekomako-workshop/digital-oracle	875	—	~5.9k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	2 mo ago
Polymarket Tennislivetennisapi/livetennisapi-mcp	152	—	~3k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	2 days ago
Trading Polymarketalsk1992/CloddsBot	2.9k	—	~8.3k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	7 days ago
Prediction Market Strategyagiprolabs/claude-trading-skills	410	—	~3.4k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	1 mo ago
PolymarketAnil-matcha/awesome-muse-connectors	1.3k	—	~790	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	4 days ago

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Works with

Polymarket

Questions about Catalyst Confirmation

What does Catalyst Confirmation do?

A skill your agent uses when a Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI, Fed, elections, court rulings, ETF decisions — and needs market confirmation before committing. Catalyst Confirmation is an agent skill from Superior-Trade/superior-skills. Use when a Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI, Fed, elections, court rulings, ETF decisions — and needs market confirmation before committing.

When should I use Catalyst Confirmation?

Catalyst Confirmation fits situations like: A Polymarket prediction-market thesis rests on an external event — CPI; ETF decisions — and needs market confirmation before committing.

How do I install Catalyst Confirmation in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/catalyst-confirmation in Superior-Trade/superior-skills) into .claude/skills/catalyst-confirmation in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install Catalyst Confirmation in Codex?

Run `npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/catalyst-confirmation in Superior-Trade/superior-skills) into .agents/skills/catalyst-confirmation in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use Catalyst Confirmation in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill catalyst-confirmation -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/catalyst-confirmation, .gemini/skills/catalyst-confirmation, .github/skills/catalyst-confirmation and .opencode/skills/catalyst-confirmation in your project.

What does Catalyst Confirmation need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Catalyst Confirmation is instructions for the agent only.

Does Catalyst Confirmation access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is Catalyst Confirmation safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does Catalyst Confirmation use?

Catalyst Confirmation is published under the MIT licence (the repository's licence). It allows redistribution, so the full SKILL.md is shown on this page.

How many tokens does Catalyst Confirmation use?

About 667 tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 2.7k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full.

What are the alternatives to Catalyst Confirmation?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with Catalyst Confirmation: Digital Oracle (komako-workshop/digital-oracle, 875 stars), Polymarket Tennis (livetennisapi/livetennisapi-mcp, 152 stars), Trading Polymarket (alsk1992/CloddsBot, 2.9k stars) and Prediction Market Strategy (agiprolabs/claude-trading-skills, 410 stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains Catalyst Confirmation?

Superior-Trade (a GitHub organization) maintains it in Superior-Trade/superior-skills, which has 214 GitHub stars. The repository holds 31 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on September 10, 2026.

Source: Superior-Trade/superior-skills on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.

Install Catalyst Confirmation

Facts

At a glance

What it does

When your agent uses it

Example prompts

Workflow steps

What it can do on your machine

Tool permissions

Runs code

Network

Credentials

Context cost

Safety

SKILL.md

Strategy: Polymarket · Catalyst Confirmation

When to use

What the agent should look for

Backtest fit with filled data

Strategy logic

Nautilus strategy shape

Example strategyConfig

Iteration knobs

Failure modes

User-facing framing

Files

Compare with similar skills

Similar skills

More from Superior-Trade/superior-skills

Related

Questions about Catalyst Confirmation