Agent skill

Sensitivity Analysis

by revfactory in revfactory/harness-100

재무 모델의 민감도 분석과 시나리오 테이블 구성 방법론을 제공하는 전문 스킬. An agent skill from revfactory/harness-100.

Apache-2.0Auto-check passed

Install Sensitivity Analysis

skills CLI
$ npx skills add revfactory/harness-100 --skill sensitivity-analysis -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI
$ gh skill install revfactory/harness-100 sensitivity-analysis --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/revfactory/harness-100.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/ko/53-financial-modeler/.claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis .claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Facts

Skill name
sensitivity-analysis
GitHub stars
1.3k
Token cost
~759 tokens
SKILL.md length
283 words
Files
1
Skills in repo
464
Repo updated
First seen
Licence
Apache-2.0

At a glance

재무 모델의 민감도 분석과 시나리오 테이블 구성 방법론을 제공하는 전문 스킬. An agent skill from revfactory/harness-100.

  • Works in 4 steps: 핵심 가정 변수 5-8개를 선정한다 → 각 변수를 ±20% (또는 합리적 범위) 변동시킨다 → 결과값(기업 가치, IRR 등)의 변동폭을 계산한다 → …
  • SKILL.md covers 적용 대상 에이전트, 1-Way 민감도 분석, 2-Way 민감도 분석 (Data Table) and 3-시나리오 분석 (Bear/Base/Bull), plus 2 more sections
  • Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

Sensitivity Analysis is an agent skill from revfactory/harness-100. 재무 모델의 민감도 분석과 시나리오 테이블 구성 방법론을 제공하는 전문 스킬. scenario-planner 에이전트가 Bear/Base/Bull 시나리오를 설계하고 핵심 변수의 영향도를 분석할 때 활용한다. '민감도 분석', '시나리오 분석', 'sensitivity table', '토네이도 차트', 'Monte Carlo' 등의 맥락에서 자동 적용한다. 단, 통계 소프트웨어(R, Python) 실행이나 실시간 시뮬레이션은 이 스킬의 범위가 아니다.

Its SKILL.md is about 760 tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. It is a single SKILL.md file with no bundled scripts.

It works with Python. The licence is Apache-2.0.

Example prompts

  • “sensitivity table”
  • “Monte Carlo”
  • “/sensitivity-analysis”

Workflow steps

4 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

  1. 핵심 가정 변수 5-8개를 선정한다
  2. 각 변수를 ±20% (또는 합리적 범위) 변동시킨다
  3. 결과값(기업 가치, IRR 등)의 변동폭을 계산한다
  4. 변동폭이 큰 순서대로 수평 바를 배치한다

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 8e8d35c. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

  • Tool permissions

    Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

    From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

  • Runs code

    No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are markdown).

    From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

  • Network

    No URLs in SKILL.md.

    From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

  • Credentials

    Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

    From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Sensitivity Analysis loads about 759 tokens when it runs. Until then it costs about 69 tokens; SKILL.md has 283 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it
~69
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches
~759

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from revfactory/harness-100 at commit 8e8d35c, republished under its Apache-2.0 licence (© revfactory). 283 words, ~759 tokens.

Download SKILL.mdSave it as .claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis/SKILL.md (or your agent's skills folder).
name
sensitivity-analysis
description
재무 모델의 민감도 분석과 시나리오 테이블 구성 방법론을 제공하는 전문 스킬. scenario-planner 에이전트가 Bear/Base/Bull 시나리오를 설계하고 핵심 변수의 영향도를 분석할 때 활용한다. '민감도 분석', '시나리오 분석', 'sensitivity table', '토네이도 차트', 'Monte Carlo' 등의 맥락에서 자동 적용한다. 단, 통계 소프트웨어(R, Python) 실행이나 실시간 시뮬레이션은 이 스킬의 범위가 아니다.

Sensitivity Analysis — 민감도 분석 방법론

scenario-planner 에이전트의 시나리오 분석 역량을 강화하는 전문 스킬.

적용 대상 에이전트

  • scenario-planner — Bear/Base/Bull 시나리오, 민감도 테이블 구성

1-Way 민감도 분석

하나의 변수를 변동시키고 나머지를 고정한 상태에서 결과값의 변화를 관찰한다.

토네이도 차트 구성법
  1. 핵심 가정 변수 5-8개를 선정한다
  2. 각 변수를 ±20% (또는 합리적 범위) 변동시킨다
  3. 결과값(기업 가치, IRR 등)의 변동폭을 계산한다
  4. 변동폭이 큰 순서대로 수평 바를 배치한다
                    기업 가치 변동
매출 성장률    ████████████████████████   가장 민감
영업이익률     ██████████████████
WACC          ████████████████
영구성장률     █████████████
CAPEX/매출     ███████████
NWC/매출       ████████                   가장 둔감
핵심 변수 선정 가이드
재무 모델 유형1순위 변수2순위 변수3순위 변수
SaaS매출 성장률NRR/ChurnCAC
제조가동률원재료 가격환율
유통GMV 성장률Take Rate배송 비용
바이오임상 성공 확률시장 규모약가

2-Way 민감도 분석 (Data Table)

두 변수를 동시에 변동시키는 매트릭스:

markdown
### 기업 가치 (억원) — 매출 성장률 vs WACC

|              | WACC 8% | WACC 9% | WACC 10% | WACC 11% | WACC 12% |
|-------------|---------|---------|----------|----------|----------|
| 성장률 10%  |   520   |   460   |   410    |   370    |   340    |
| 성장률 15%  |   680   |   590   |   520    |   460    |   410    |
| 성장률 20%  |   870   |   740   |   640    |   560    |   490    |
| 성장률 25%  |  1,090  |   910   |   780    |   670    |   590    |
| 성장률 30%  |  1,350  |  1,110  |   930    |   800    |   700    |

색상 코딩 규칙:

  • 현재 기업가치 이상 = 녹색 (투자 매력)
  • 현재 기업가치의 80-100% = 노란색 (관찰)
  • 현재 기업가치의 80% 미만 = 빨간색 (경고)

3-시나리오 분석 (Bear/Base/Bull)

시나리오 정의 프레임워크
구분Bear (비관)Base (기본)Bull (낙관)
확률 가중20-25%50-60%20-25%
매출 성장하위 25% 벤치마크중위값상위 25% 벤치마크
마진현 수준 유지 또는 하락점진 개선목표 달성
시장 환경경기 둔화, 경쟁 격화현상 유지호황, 시장 확대
시나리오별 핵심 가정 테이블
markdown
| 가정 항목 | Bear | Base | Bull | 근거 |
|----------|------|------|------|------|
| 매출 성장률 Y1 | 10% | 25% | 40% | 업종 분포 |
| 매출 성장률 Y3 | 5% | 15% | 30% | 수렴 가정 |
| 영업이익률 Y5 | 8% | 15% | 22% | 벤치마크 |
| 고객 이탈률 | 5% | 3% | 1.5% | 동종 데이터 |
| CAPEX/매출 | 12% | 8% | 6% | 규모의 경제 |
확률 가중 가치 (Probability-Weighted)
가중 기업가치 = P(Bear) × V(Bear) + P(Base) × V(Base) + P(Bull) × V(Bull)

브레이크이븐 분석

핵심 질문

"어떤 가정이 어느 수준까지 악화되면 투자가 실패하는가?"

분석 항목산식의미
매출 BEP고정비 / 공헌이익률최소 필요 매출
고객수 BEP고정비 / (ARPU × 마진)최소 필요 고객
성장률 BEPNPV = 0이 되는 성장률최소 필요 성장률
IRR BEPNPV = 0이 되는 할인율내부수익률

결과 보고 형식

필수 산출물
  1. 토네이도 차트 — 변수별 민감도 순위
  2. 2-Way 테이블 — 상위 2개 변수의 교차 분석 (최소 2개)
  3. 3-시나리오 요약 — Bear/Base/Bull 핵심 가정 + 결과값
  4. 확률 가중 가치 — 최종 추정값
  5. 브레이크이븐 포인트 — 핵심 변수별 손익분기
  6. 시사점 — 가장 민감한 변수에 대한 리스크 관리 제안

© revfactory, Apache-2.0. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file

Files

Just SKILL.md in ko/53-financial-modeler/.claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis of revfactory/harness-100.

Open the folder on GitHubat commit 8e8d35c

Compare with similar skills

Sensitivity Analysis next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

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Manim Video Productionbrowser-use/video-use28k6 repos~3kAutomated safety check: PassMIT
Code Review ChecklistshareAI-lab/learn-claude-code78k5 repos~1.1kAutomated safety check: PassMIT

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Works with

Questions about Sensitivity Analysis

What does Sensitivity Analysis do?

재무 모델의 민감도 분석과 시나리오 테이블 구성 방법론을 제공하는 전문 스킬. An agent skill from revfactory/harness-100. Sensitivity Analysis is an agent skill from revfactory/harness-100. 재무 모델의 민감도 분석과 시나리오 테이블 구성 방법론을 제공하는 전문 스킬.

How do I install Sensitivity Analysis in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add revfactory/harness-100 --skill sensitivity-analysis -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (ko/53-financial-modeler/.claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis in revfactory/harness-100) into .claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install Sensitivity Analysis in Codex?

Run `npx skills add revfactory/harness-100 --skill sensitivity-analysis -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (ko/53-financial-modeler/.claude/skills/sensitivity-analysis in revfactory/harness-100) into .agents/skills/sensitivity-analysis in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use Sensitivity Analysis in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add revfactory/harness-100 --skill sensitivity-analysis -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/sensitivity-analysis, .gemini/skills/sensitivity-analysis, .github/skills/sensitivity-analysis and .opencode/skills/sensitivity-analysis in your project.

What does Sensitivity Analysis need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Sensitivity Analysis is instructions for the agent only.

Does Sensitivity Analysis access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is Sensitivity Analysis safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does Sensitivity Analysis use?

Sensitivity Analysis is published under the Apache-2.0 licence (the repository's licence). It allows redistribution, so the full SKILL.md is shown on this page.

How many tokens does Sensitivity Analysis use?

About 759 tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 3k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full.

What are the alternatives to Sensitivity Analysis?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with Sensitivity Analysis: MCP Server Builder (anthropics/skills, 180k stars), PDF Processing (anthropics/skills, 180k stars), NotebookLM Research Assistant (PleasePrompto/notebooklm-skill, 7.8k stars) and Manim Video Production (browser-use/video-use, 28k stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains Sensitivity Analysis?

revfactory (a GitHub user) maintains it in revfactory/harness-100, which has 1,290 GitHub stars. The repository holds 464 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on March 22, 2026.

Source: revfactory/harness-100 on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.