Agent skill

Moonpay Prediction Market

Trade on prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi). An agent skill from moonpay/skills.

MITAuto-check passedBusiness, Finance & HR

Install Moonpay Prediction Market

skills CLI

$ npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install moonpay/skills moonpay-prediction-market --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/moonpay-prediction-market .claude/skills/moonpay-prediction-market && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Paste into Claude Code

Install the "moonpay-prediction-market" agent skill from https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market into .claude/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "moonpay-prediction-market", then confirm the skill loads.

Claude Code copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

$skill-installer

$skill-installer install https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market

Type this inside Codex. $skill-installer <name> installs a curated skill from openai/skills. The installer writes to $CODEX_HOME/skills (default ~/.codex/skills). Restart Codex if the skill does not show up.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a codex

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.codex/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install moonpay/skills moonpay-prediction-market --agent codex

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .agents/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/moonpay-prediction-market .agents/skills/moonpay-prediction-market && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.agents/skills/ instead of .agents/skills for a personal install.

Codex skills documentation · loads skills from .agents/skills/

Paste into Codex

Install the "moonpay-prediction-market" agent skill from https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market into .agents/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "moonpay-prediction-market", then confirm the skill loads.

Codex copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a cursor

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.cursor/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install moonpay/skills moonpay-prediction-market --agent cursor

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .cursor/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/moonpay-prediction-market .cursor/skills/moonpay-prediction-market && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.cursor/skills/ instead of .cursor/skills for a personal install.

Cursor skills documentation · loads skills from .cursor/skills/, .agents/skills/, .claude/skills/, .codex/skills/

Paste into Cursor

Install the "moonpay-prediction-market" agent skill from https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market into .cursor/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "moonpay-prediction-market", then confirm the skill loads.

Cursor copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

gemini skills install

$ gemini skills install https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git --path skills/moonpay-prediction-market

--scope user (default) or --scope workspace; --path is the subfolder of the repo that holds the skill; --consent skips the security confirmation prompt.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a gemini-cli

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.gemini/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install moonpay/skills moonpay-prediction-market --agent gemini-cli

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .gemini/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/moonpay-prediction-market .gemini/skills/moonpay-prediction-market && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.gemini/skills/ instead of .gemini/skills for a personal install, then run /skills reload.

Gemini CLI skills documentation · loads skills from .gemini/skills/, .agents/skills/

Paste into Gemini CLI

Install the "moonpay-prediction-market" agent skill from https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market into .gemini/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "moonpay-prediction-market", then confirm the skill loads.

Gemini CLI copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install moonpay/skills moonpay-prediction-market

Installs for Copilot at project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Preview a skill first with gh skill preview. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

skills CLI

$ npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a github-copilot

Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.copilot/skills/.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .github/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/moonpay-prediction-market .github/skills/moonpay-prediction-market && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.copilot/skills/ instead of .github/skills for a personal install. Commit .github/skills so cloud agent and code review can use it.

GitHub Copilot skills documentation · loads skills from .github/skills/, .claude/skills/, .agents/skills/

Paste into GitHub Copilot

Install the "moonpay-prediction-market" agent skill from https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market into .github/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "moonpay-prediction-market", then confirm the skill loads.

GitHub Copilot copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

skills CLI

$ npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a opencode

OpenCode documents no install command of its own. Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.config/opencode/skills/.

GitHub CLI

$ gh skill install moonpay/skills moonpay-prediction-market --agent opencode

Project scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.

Manual copy

$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/moonpay/skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .opencode/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/moonpay-prediction-market .opencode/skills/moonpay-prediction-market && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.config/opencode/skills/ instead of .opencode/skills for a personal install.

OpenCode skills documentation · loads skills from .opencode/skills/, .claude/skills/, .agents/skills/

Paste into OpenCode

Install the "moonpay-prediction-market" agent skill from https://github.com/moonpay/skills/tree/main/skills/moonpay-prediction-market into .opencode/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "moonpay-prediction-market", then confirm the skill loads.

OpenCode copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.

Facts

Skill name: moonpay-prediction-market
GitHub stars: 113
Token cost: ~1.3k tokens
SKILL.md length: 300 words
Files: 1
Skills in repo: 39
Repo updated: Sep 10, 2026
First seen: Oct 7, 2026
Licence: MIT

At a glance

Trade on prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi). An agent skill from moonpay/skills.

Works in 4 steps: Authenticate: mp login --email then mp… → Have a local wallet: mp wallet list… → Register your wallet with the provider… → …
Business, Finance & HR work in your project
SKILL.md covers Goal, Prerequisites, Browse and research markets and Buy and sell positions, plus 6 more sections
Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

Moonpay Prediction Market is an agent skill from moonpay/skills. Trade on prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi). Search markets, buy/sell positions, track PnL, and view trade history.

Its SKILL.md is about 1.3k tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. It is a single SKILL.md file with no bundled scripts.

It sits in Business, Finance & HR. It works with Polymarket, Kalshi, Circle USDC and Solana. The repository describes itself as: Skills for AI agents to move money — on-ramps, swaps, wallets, deposits, and more via the MoonPay CLI. The licence is MIT.

When your agent uses it

Business, Finance & HR work in your project

Example prompts

“/moonpay-prediction-market”

Workflow steps

4 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

Authenticate: mp login --email then mp verify --email --code
Have a local wallet: mp wallet list (create with mp wallet create --name "main" if needed)
Register your wallet with the provider (one-time setup)
Fund the wallet — Polymarket needs USDC.e on Polygon, Kalshi needs USDC on Solana. See the moonpay-fund-polymarket or moonpay-buy-crypto…

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit aa672ab. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

Tool permissions
Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.
From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.
Runs code
No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are bash).
From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.
Network
No URLs in SKILL.md.
From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.
Credentials
Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.
From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Moonpay Prediction Market loads about 1.3k tokens when it runs. Until then it costs about 37 tokens; SKILL.md has 300 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it: ~37
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches: ~1.3k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from moonpay/skills at commit aa672ab, republished under its MIT licence (© moonpay). 300 words, ~1,339 tokens.

Download SKILL.mdSave it as .claude/skills/moonpay-prediction-market/SKILL.md (or your agent's skills folder).

name: moonpay-prediction-market
description: Trade on prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi). Search markets, buy/sell positions, track PnL, and view trade history.
tags: trading, prediction-market, polymarket, kalshi

Prediction markets

Goal

Search prediction markets, buy and sell outcome shares, track positions and PnL.

Supports two providers:

Polymarket — runs on Polygon (USDC.e). Requires an EVM wallet.
Kalshi — runs on Solana (USDC). Requires a Solana wallet.

Prerequisites

Authenticate: mp login --email <email> then mp verify --email <email> --code <code>
Have a local wallet: mp wallet list (create with mp wallet create --name "main" if needed)
Register your wallet with the provider (one-time setup):

bash

# For Polymarket (use your EVM/Polygon address)
mp prediction-market user create --provider polymarket --wallet <evm-address>

# For Kalshi (use your Solana address)
mp prediction-market user create --provider kalshi --wallet <solana-address>

Fund the wallet — Polymarket needs USDC.e on Polygon, Kalshi needs USDC on Solana. See the moonpay-fund-polymarket or moonpay-buy-crypto skills.

Browse and research markets

bash

# Search markets by keyword
mp prediction-market market search --provider polymarket --query "bitcoin" --limit 10

# Get trending markets (sorted by 24h volume, min $150K)
mp prediction-market market trending list --provider polymarket --limit 10

# Browse market categories/tags
mp prediction-market market tag list --provider polymarket

# Filter markets by tag
mp prediction-market market search --provider polymarket --query "*" --tagIds "crypto,politics"

# Get full event details (all markets, outcomes, prices)
mp prediction-market market event retrieve --provider polymarket --slug <event-slug>

# Check current price for an outcome token
mp prediction-market market price retrieve --provider polymarket --tokenId <token-id>

# View price history for an outcome
mp prediction-market market price-history list --provider polymarket --tokenId <token-id> --interval 1w

Buy and sell positions

bash

# Buy shares of an outcome
mp prediction-market position buy \
  --wallet main \
  --provider polymarket \
  --tokenId <outcome-token-id> \
  --price 0.65 \
  --size 100

# Sell shares
mp prediction-market position sell \
  --wallet main \
  --provider polymarket \
  --tokenId <outcome-token-id> \
  --price 0.70 \
  --size 50

Key concepts:

tokenId comes from outcomeTokens[].tokenId in market search results
price is 0-1 (e.g., 0.65 = 65 cents per share, implies 65% probability)
size is the number of shares
Cost = price x size (e.g., 0.65 x 100 = $65 USDC)
If the outcome resolves YES, each share pays $1. Profit = (1 - price) x size

Track positions and performance

bash

# View open positions
mp prediction-market position list --provider polymarket --wallet <address>

# View closed positions
mp prediction-market position list --provider polymarket --wallet <address> --status closed

# Get PnL summary
mp prediction-market pnl retrieve --provider polymarket --wallet <address>

# View trade history
mp prediction-market trade list --provider polymarket --wallet <address>

# View all activity (trades, splits, merges, redemptions)
mp prediction-market activity list --provider polymarket --wallet <address>

Workflow

Discover: Search or browse trending markets.
Research: Get event details, check prices, review price history.
Trade: Buy shares on outcomes you believe are mispriced.
Monitor: Track positions and PnL.
Exit: Sell positions when your thesis changes, or wait for resolution.

Example: trade a market

bash

# 1. Find a market
mp prediction-market market search --provider polymarket --query "bitcoin 100k"

# 2. Get event details (note the outcomeTokens)
mp prediction-market market event retrieve --provider polymarket --slug <slug-from-search>

# 3. Check price history
mp prediction-market market price-history list --provider polymarket --tokenId <yes-token-id> --interval 1w

# 4. Buy 50 "Yes" shares at 40 cents
mp prediction-market position buy --wallet main --provider polymarket --tokenId <yes-token-id> --price 0.40 --size 50

# 5. Check your position
mp prediction-market position list --provider polymarket --wallet <address>

# 6. Sell later at a higher price
mp prediction-market position sell --wallet main --provider polymarket --tokenId <yes-token-id> --price 0.60 --size 50

Price history intervals

Interval	Description
`1hr`	Last hour
`1d`	Last day
`1w`	Last week
`1m`	Last month
`max`	All time

Tips

Use mp --json prediction-market ... for programmatic output
Markets with higher volume and liquidity have tighter spreads
Check acceptingOrders — closed markets cannot be traded
negRisk markets use a different settlement framework — the CLI handles this automatically
Polymarket uses USDC.e on Polygon; Kalshi uses USDC on Solana

moonpay-fund-polymarket — Fund your Polymarket wallet with USDC.e and POL
moonpay-check-wallet — Check Polygon/Solana balances
moonpay-swap-tokens — Bridge tokens to Polygon
moonpay-trading-automation — Automate trading strategies

Files

Just SKILL.md in skills/moonpay-prediction-market of moonpay/skills.

Open the folder on GitHubat commit aa672ab

Compare with similar skills

Moonpay Prediction Market next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

Moonpay Prediction Market compared with similar skills
Skill	Stars	Used in	Tokens	Auto-check	Licence	Repo updated
Moonpay Prediction Market this skillmoonpay/skills	113	—	~1.3k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	1 mo ago
Predexon Prediction Market DataBlockRunAI/ClawRouter	6.6k	—	~4.7k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	5 days ago
Surf Crypto Data APIBlockRunAI/blockrun-mcp	391	—	~1.7k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	3 days ago
BlockrunBlockRunAI/blockrun-mcp	391	—	~2.7k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	3 days ago
Digital Oraclekomako-workshop/digital-oracle	878	—	~5.9k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	2 mo ago
Polymarket TradingBlockRunAI/ClawRouter	6.6k	—	~1.4k	Automated safety check: Pass	MIT	5 days ago

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Questions about Moonpay Prediction Market

What does Moonpay Prediction Market do?

Trade on prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi). An agent skill from moonpay/skills. Moonpay Prediction Market is an agent skill from moonpay/skills. Trade on prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi).

When should I use Moonpay Prediction Market?

Moonpay Prediction Market fits situations like: business, Finance & HR work in your project.

How do I install Moonpay Prediction Market in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/moonpay-prediction-market in moonpay/skills) into .claude/skills/moonpay-prediction-market in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install Moonpay Prediction Market in Codex?

Run `npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/moonpay-prediction-market in moonpay/skills) into .agents/skills/moonpay-prediction-market in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use Moonpay Prediction Market in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add moonpay/skills --skill moonpay-prediction-market -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/moonpay-prediction-market, .gemini/skills/moonpay-prediction-market, .github/skills/moonpay-prediction-market and .opencode/skills/moonpay-prediction-market in your project.

What does Moonpay Prediction Market need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Moonpay Prediction Market is instructions for the agent only.

Does Moonpay Prediction Market access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is Moonpay Prediction Market safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does Moonpay Prediction Market use?

Moonpay Prediction Market is published under the MIT licence (the repository's licence). It allows redistribution, so the full SKILL.md is shown on this page.

How many tokens does Moonpay Prediction Market use?

About 1.3k tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 5.4k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full.

What are the alternatives to Moonpay Prediction Market?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with Moonpay Prediction Market: Predexon Prediction Market Data (BlockRunAI/ClawRouter, 6.6k stars), Surf Crypto Data API (BlockRunAI/blockrun-mcp, 391 stars), Blockrun (BlockRunAI/blockrun-mcp, 391 stars) and Digital Oracle (komako-workshop/digital-oracle, 878 stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains Moonpay Prediction Market?

moonpay (a GitHub organization) maintains it in moonpay/skills, which has 113 GitHub stars. The repository holds 39 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on September 10, 2026.

Source: moonpay/skills on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.

Install Moonpay Prediction Market

Facts

At a glance

What it does

When your agent uses it

Example prompts

Workflow steps

What it can do on your machine

Tool permissions

Runs code

Network

Credentials

Context cost

Safety

SKILL.md

Prediction markets

Goal

Prerequisites

Browse and research markets

Buy and sell positions

Track positions and performance

Workflow

Example: trade a market

Price history intervals

Tips

Related skills

Files

Compare with similar skills

Similar skills

More from moonpay/skills

Related

Questions about Moonpay Prediction Market