Agent skill

AI Product Bets

by menkesu in menkesu/awesome-pm-skills

Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve.

Custom licenceAuto-check passedProduct & Project Management

Install AI Product Bets

skills CLI
$ npx skills add menkesu/awesome-pm-skills --skill ai-product-bets -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI
$ gh skill install menkesu/awesome-pm-skills ai-product-bets --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/menkesu/awesome-pm-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/ai-product-bets .claude/skills/ai-product-bets && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Facts

Skill name
ai-product-bets
GitHub stars
434
Token cost
~5.3k tokens
SKILL.md length
2,975 words
Files
4 (incl. references, assets)
Skills in repo
25
Repo updated
First seen
Licence
Custom licence

At a glance

Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve.

  • Works in 3 steps: Diagnose (ask before answering) → Pick the play → Run it
  • What should we build with AI
  • SKILL.md covers When to use, Step 1 — Diagnose (ask before…, Step 2 — Pick the play and Step 3 — Run it, plus 6 more sections
  • Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

AI Product Bets is an agent skill from menkesu/awesome-pm-skills. Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve. Produces an AI Bet Memo (feature-by-feature verdicts, retest triggers, scaffolding ledger, moat and safety check) from a roadmap or idea list. Use for 'AI strategy', 'AI roadmap', 'what should we build with AI', 'will the next model make this obsolete', 'build vs wait for the model', 'will OpenAI/Anthropic build this', 'agent or chatbot', 'is this feature worth shipping'. Draws on 118 Lenny's Podcast…

Its SKILL.md is about 5.3k tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. The skill folder holds 5 other files, including reference files and assets (for example `references/frameworks.md` and `references/quotes.md`).

It sits in Product & Project Management, covering Project scaffolding and Podcasting. It works with OpenAI. The repository describes itself as: Product management workflows grounded in Lenny's Podcast, for Claude Code, Codex, and Cursor.

When your agent uses it

  • What should we build with AI
  • Will the next model make this obsolete
  • Build vs wait for the model
  • Will OpenAI/Anthropic build this

Example prompts

  • “AI strategy”
  • “AI roadmap”
  • “what should we build with AI”
  • “/ai-product-bets”

Workflow steps

3 steps, taken from the step headings in SKILL.md.

  1. Diagnose (ask before answering)
  2. Pick the play
  3. Run it

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit c1b6e2d. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

  • Tool permissions

    Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

    From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

  • Runs code

    No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are markdown).

    From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

  • Network

    No URLs in SKILL.md.

    From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

  • Credentials

    Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

    From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

AI Product Bets loads about 5.3k tokens when it runs, and up to ~12k if it reads all its reference files. Until then it costs about 146 tokens; SKILL.md has 2,975 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it
~146
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches
~5.3k
With references · SKILL.md plus every file in references/, read only if the agent opens them
~12k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

Its licence (Custom licence) doesn't allow us to republish the file, so here is its outline and opening line. It has 2,975 words (~5,280 tokens).

“Decide which AI features to ship now, build for the next model, shelve with a retest trigger, or kill, and prove each one gets better as models improve. Built from 405 insights from 118 Lenny's Podcast guests. Lead team: Nick…”

— opening of SKILL.md by menkesu, Custom licence
name
ai-product-bets

Read the full SKILL.md on GitHub

Files

SKILL.md and 3 other files (references, assets) in skills/ai-product-bets of menkesu/awesome-pm-skills.

  • SKILL.md
  • assets/card.png
  • references/frameworks.md
  • references/quotes.md

Open the folder on GitHubat commit c1b6e2d

Compare with similar skills

AI Product Bets next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

AI Product Bets compared with similar skills
SkillStarsUsed inTokensAuto-checkLicenceRepo updated
AI Product Bets this skillmenkesu/awesome-pm-skills434—~5.3kAutomated safety check: PassCustom licence
BibiJimmyLv/BibiGPT-v16.2k—~885Automated safety check: PassGPL-3.0
Video Transcribewendy7756/AI-Video-Transcriber3.3k—~937Automated safety check: NotesApache-2.0
Chatgpt AppsHaohao-end/openagent7911 repos~4.9kAutomated safety check: PassApache-2.0
Unslop TextJCarterJohnson/vibecoded-design-tells513—~3.5kAutomated safety check: PassCustom licence
Start Taskdevoxx/DevoxxGenieIDEAPlugin684—~792Automated safety check: PassMIT

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Works with

Questions about AI Product Bets

What does AI Product Bets do?

Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve. AI Product Bets is an agent skill from menkesu/awesome-pm-skills. Decide which AI features to build, delay, shelve or kill, and whether each one gets better as models improve.

When should I use AI Product Bets?

AI Product Bets fits situations like: what should we build with AI; will the next model make this obsolete; build vs wait for the model; will OpenAI/Anthropic build this.

How do I install AI Product Bets in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add menkesu/awesome-pm-skills --skill ai-product-bets -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/ai-product-bets in menkesu/awesome-pm-skills) into .claude/skills/ai-product-bets in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install AI Product Bets in Codex?

Run `npx skills add menkesu/awesome-pm-skills --skill ai-product-bets -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/ai-product-bets in menkesu/awesome-pm-skills) into .agents/skills/ai-product-bets in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use AI Product Bets in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add menkesu/awesome-pm-skills --skill ai-product-bets -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/ai-product-bets, .gemini/skills/ai-product-bets, .github/skills/ai-product-bets and .opencode/skills/ai-product-bets in your project.

What does AI Product Bets need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: AI Product Bets is instructions for the agent only.

Does AI Product Bets access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is AI Product Bets safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does AI Product Bets use?

AI Product Bets has a licence file (the repository's licence) that doesn't match a standard licence. Read it on GitHub before reusing the skill.

How many tokens does AI Product Bets use?

About 5.3k tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 21k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full. Its references folder adds about 6.5k tokens, read only when the agent opens those files.

What are the alternatives to AI Product Bets?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with AI Product Bets: Bibi (JimmyLv/BibiGPT-v1, 6.2k stars), Video Transcribe (wendy7756/AI-Video-Transcriber, 3.3k stars), Chatgpt Apps (Haohao-end/openagent, 791 stars) and Unslop Text (JCarterJohnson/vibecoded-design-tells, 513 stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains AI Product Bets?

menkesu (a GitHub user) maintains it in menkesu/awesome-pm-skills, which has 434 GitHub stars. The repository holds 25 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on October 6, 2026.

Source: menkesu/awesome-pm-skills on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.