Botlearn Mental Models

What it does

When your agent uses it

• Faces a genuine judgment call — a decision where reasonable people could disagree
• Where the right answer depends on their specific situation
• Where the framing itself might be wrong

Example prompts

• “/botlearn-mental-models”

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit e5199b5. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

• Tool permissions

  Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

  From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

• Runs code

  No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md.

  From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

• Network

  No URLs in SKILL.md.

  From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

• Credentials

  Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

  From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Botlearn Mental Models loads about 2.7k tokens when it runs. Until then it costs about 159 tokens; SKILL.md has 924 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it

~159

When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches

~2.7k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from LeoYeAI/openclaw-master-skills at commit e5199b5, republished under its MIT licence (© LeoYeAI). 924 words, ~2,654 tokens.

name

botlearn-mental-models

description

A latticework thinking advisor built on Charlie Munger's mental models framework. Activate when the user faces a genuine judgment call — a decision where reasonable people could disagree, where the right answer depends on their specific situation, or where the framing itself might be wrong. When in doubt, activate. Skip for: pure execution (code, translation, formatting), information retrieval with a knowable answer (which stocks benefit from X, what happened in Y), and questions where a search engine gives a complete answer. The test: does this question have a standard answer, or does it require judgment?

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LATTICEWORK  invest in AI infrastructure company?
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Confidence  MEDIUM — logic holds, timeline unknown
Wait        How much do we lose if commoditization hits in 3 years?
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
WHY  You're pricing a commoditization timeline, not a company. No one knows that number — including them.
◆ PATTERN    Every infrastructure layer eventually commoditized. High margins are a timing advantage, not a moat.
  · Evolutionary Thinking × Scale & Power Laws
◆ INCENTIVE  Their largest customers have the most incentive to build this themselves. Best clients are the most dangerous ones.
  · Game Theory × Institutions Matter
◆ TENSION    3 years: expensive. 7 years: cheap. The lattice can't tell you which — that's the actual decision.
  · Probabilistic Thinking
◆ RISK       Two similar bets already in portfolio. A third is concentration risk, not conviction.
  · Margin of Safety
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LATTICEWORK  [topic]
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Confidence  HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW — [one clause]
Action / Wait  [One verb. Or: wait until X.]
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
LATTICEWORK  [topic]
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Confidence  HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW — [one clause]
Action / Wait  [Verb first. Or: wait until X.]
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
WHY  [Conclusion — one line]
◆ PATTERN    [A recurring dynamic this situation fits]
  · [Lens A] × [Lens B]
◆ INCENTIVE  [Who has reason to do what, and why that matters here]
  · [Lens C] + [Lens D]
◆ TENSION    [What's unresolved. Two paths. Pick one.]
  · [Lens E] vs [Lens F]
◆ RISK       [Specific downside if the key assumption is wrong]
  · [Lens]
◆ ASYMMETRY  [Upside vs downside — only if genuinely lopsided]
◆ TIMING     [Act now because X / wait until Y]
◆ LIMIT      [What's outside reliable judgment here. Who to ask.]
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
THINKING DIAGNOSTIC
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

▎ [The dominant pattern in how this person thinks]

◆ Strength: [what lens they're using well]
◆ Blind quadrant: [discipline entirely absent]
◆ Highest-value unlock: [the one lens that would most change their analysis]

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
One question to sit with:
[What the lattice reveals they haven't asked]
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

models/
├── 01-first-principles.md        ├── 11-scarcity-bandwidth.md
├── 02-evolutionary-thinking.md   ├── 12-reframing-causation.md
├── 03-systems-thinking.md        ├── 13-institutions-matter.md
├── 04-probabilistic-thinking.md  ├── 14-power-discourse.md
├── 05-antifragile.md             ├── 15-self-reference.md
├── 06-paradigm-shift.md          ├── 16-narrative-reality.md
├── 07-scale-power-laws.md        ├── 17-medium-shapes-message.md
├── 08-entropy-information.md     ├── 18-meaning-under-pressure.md
├── 09-game-theory.md             ├── 19-scientific-skepticism.md
├── 10-network-effects.md         └── 20-nonlinear-wuwei.md

© LeoYeAI, MIT. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file

Files

SKILL.md and 20 other files in skills/botlearn-mental-models/thinking-models of LeoYeAI/openclaw-master-skills.

• SKILL.md
• 01-first-principles.md
• 02-evolutionary-thinking.md
• 03-systems-thinking.md
• 04-probabilistic-thinking.md
• 05-antifragile.md
• 06-paradigm-shift.md
• 07-scale-power-laws.md
• 08-entropy-information.md
• 09-game-theory.md
• 10-network-effects.md
• 11-scarcity-bandwidth.md
• 12-reframing-causation.md
• 13-institutions-matter.md
• 14-power-discourse.md
• 15-self-reference.md
• 16-narrative-reality.md
• 17-medium-shapes-message.md
• 18-meaning-under-pressure.md
• 19-scientific-skepticism.md
• 20-nonlinear-wuwei.md

Open the folder on GitHubat commit e5199b5