Meta Decision Analysis

What it does

When your agent uses it

• The user faces a complex decision with multiple options and criteria
• Needs to compare alternatives objectively
• Quantify risk vs reward
• Facilitate group decisions — even if they say which option should we choose

Example prompts

• “which option should we choose”
• “help me decide”
• “how do we compare these options”
• “/meta-decision-analysis”

Workflow steps

6 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

1. 1List alternatives (3-6 options including "do nothing")
2. 2Define criteria (4-8 factors that matter)
3. 3Weight criteria (must sum to 100%)
4. 4Score each option per criterion (1-5 or 1-10)
5. 5Calculate weighted total = Σ(score × weight)
6. 6Sensitivity check: Does the winner change if you adjust the top-weighted criterion?

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 4e7f4f8. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

• Tool permissions

  Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

  From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

• Runs code

  No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are markdown).

  From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

• Network

  No URLs in SKILL.md.

  From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

• Credentials

  Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

  From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Meta Decision Analysis loads about 814 tokens when it runs, and up to ~3.4k if it reads all its reference files. Until then it costs about 122 tokens; SKILL.md has 253 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it

~122

When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches

~814

With references · SKILL.md plus every file in references/, read only if the agent opens them

~3.4k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from asgard-ai-platform/skills at commit 4e7f4f8, republished under its MIT licence (© asgard-ai-platform). 253 words, ~814 tokens.

name

meta-decision-analysis

description

Apply structured decision analysis using decision matrices, decision trees, expected value, and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). Use this skill when the user faces a complex decision with multiple options and criteria, needs to compare alternatives objectively, quantify risk vs reward, or facilitate group decisions — even if they say 'which option should we choose', 'help me decide', 'how do we compare these options', or 'what's the expected outcome'.

metadata.category

WP-22 跨學科

metadata.tags

meta-thinking, decision-analysis, decision-matrix

IRON LAW: Make Criteria and Weights Explicit BEFORE Evaluating Options

Choosing criteria after seeing the options lets bias sneak in — you
unconsciously weight criteria that favor your preferred option.
Define criteria, assign weights, THEN score options.

# Decision Analysis: {Decision}

## Alternatives
1. {Option A}
2. {Option B}
3. {Option C}

## Decision Matrix
| Criterion | Weight | Option A | Option B | Option C |
|-----------|--------|----------|----------|----------|
| {criterion 1} | {X%} | {1-5} | {1-5} | {1-5} |
| **Weighted Total** | 100% | **{total}** | **{total}** | **{total}** |

## Sensitivity Analysis
- If {criterion} weight changes from X% to Y%, winner changes from {A} to {B}

## Recommendation
{Winner with rationale and key trade-offs acknowledged}

© asgard-ai-platform, MIT. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file

Files

SKILL.md and 2 other files (references) in meta-decision-analysis of asgard-ai-platform/skills.

• SKILL.md
• examples/sample_scenario.md
• references/decision-tools.md

Open the folder on GitHubat commit 4e7f4f8