TAM SAM SOM Calculator
deanpeters/Product-Manager-Skills
Calculates total, serviceable available and serviceable obtainable market size for a product idea with explicit assumptions, methods and caveats.
Patient-flow market sizing for med products — prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent, priced as price × duration per cohort, with capacity constraints…
Install Med Market Sizing
$ npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a claude-codeProject install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.
$ gh skill install agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence med-market-sizing --agent claude-codeProject scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing .claude/skills/med-market-sizing && rm -rf skills-srcUse ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.
Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/
Install the "med-market-sizing" agent skill from https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing into .claude/skills/med-market-sizing/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "med-market-sizing", then confirm the skill loads.Claude Code copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.
$skill-installer install https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizingType this inside Codex. $skill-installer <name> installs a curated skill from openai/skills. The installer writes to $CODEX_HOME/skills (default ~/.codex/skills). Restart Codex if the skill does not show up.
$ npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a codexProject install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.codex/skills/.
$ gh skill install agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence med-market-sizing --agent codexProject scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git skills-src && mkdir -p .agents/skills && cp -r skills-src/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing .agents/skills/med-market-sizing && rm -rf skills-srcUse ~/.agents/skills/ instead of .agents/skills for a personal install.
Codex skills documentation · loads skills from .agents/skills/
Install the "med-market-sizing" agent skill from https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing into .agents/skills/med-market-sizing/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "med-market-sizing", then confirm the skill loads.Codex copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.
$ npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a cursorProject install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.cursor/skills/.
$ gh skill install agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence med-market-sizing --agent cursorProject scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git skills-src && mkdir -p .cursor/skills && cp -r skills-src/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing .cursor/skills/med-market-sizing && rm -rf skills-srcUse ~/.cursor/skills/ instead of .cursor/skills for a personal install.
Cursor skills documentation · loads skills from .cursor/skills/, .agents/skills/, .claude/skills/, .codex/skills/
Install the "med-market-sizing" agent skill from https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing into .cursor/skills/med-market-sizing/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "med-market-sizing", then confirm the skill loads.Cursor copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.
$ gemini skills install https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git --path plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing--scope user (default) or --scope workspace; --path is the subfolder of the repo that holds the skill; --consent skips the security confirmation prompt.
$ npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a gemini-cliProject install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.gemini/skills/.
$ gh skill install agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence med-market-sizing --agent gemini-cliProject scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git skills-src && mkdir -p .gemini/skills && cp -r skills-src/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing .gemini/skills/med-market-sizing && rm -rf skills-srcUse ~/.gemini/skills/ instead of .gemini/skills for a personal install, then run /skills reload.
Gemini CLI skills documentation · loads skills from .gemini/skills/, .agents/skills/
Install the "med-market-sizing" agent skill from https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing into .gemini/skills/med-market-sizing/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "med-market-sizing", then confirm the skill loads.Gemini CLI copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.
$ gh skill install agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence med-market-sizingInstalls for Copilot at project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Preview a skill first with gh skill preview. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).
$ npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a github-copilotProject install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.copilot/skills/.
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git skills-src && mkdir -p .github/skills && cp -r skills-src/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing .github/skills/med-market-sizing && rm -rf skills-srcUse ~/.copilot/skills/ instead of .github/skills for a personal install. Commit .github/skills so cloud agent and code review can use it.
GitHub Copilot skills documentation · loads skills from .github/skills/, .claude/skills/, .agents/skills/
Install the "med-market-sizing" agent skill from https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing into .github/skills/med-market-sizing/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "med-market-sizing", then confirm the skill loads.GitHub Copilot copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.
$ npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a opencodeOpenCode documents no install command of its own. Project install goes to .agents/skills/; add -g for ~/.config/opencode/skills/.
$ gh skill install agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence med-market-sizing --agent opencodeProject scope by default (.agents/skills/); add --scope user for a personal install.
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.git skills-src && mkdir -p .opencode/skills && cp -r skills-src/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing .opencode/skills/med-market-sizing && rm -rf skills-srcUse ~/.config/opencode/skills/ instead of .opencode/skills for a personal install.
OpenCode skills documentation · loads skills from .opencode/skills/, .claude/skills/, .agents/skills/
Install the "med-market-sizing" agent skill from https://github.com/agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence/tree/main/plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing into .opencode/skills/med-market-sizing/ in this project. Copy the whole folder (SKILL.md and every file beside it), keep the folder name "med-market-sizing", then confirm the skill loads.OpenCode copies the folder itself, the same result as the manual copy. Check what it changed before you commit it.
Facts
- Skill name
med-market-sizing- GitHub stars
- 207
- Token cost
- ~1.8k tokens
- SKILL.md length
- 678 words
- Files
- 3 (incl. references)
- Skills in repo
- 79
- Repo updated
- First seen
- Licence
- Apache-2.0
At a glance
Patient-flow market sizing for med products — prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent, priced as price × duration per cohort, with capacity constraints…
- Works in 5 steps: Prevalence/epidemiology:… → Universe + mechanism:… → Pricing/coverage: search_sec_filings… → …
- Size a therapy area
- SKILL.md covers Defaults, Preflight, Triggers and Production Grounding, plus 11 more sections
- Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md
What it does
Med Market Sizing is an agent skill from agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence. Patient-flow market sizing for med products — prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent, priced as price × duration per cohort, with capacity constraints, named historical analog anchoring, and always bull/base/bear named-driver grids. Use to size a therapy area or product market before any valuation or share work.
Its SKILL.md is about 1.8k tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. The skill folder holds 3 other files, including reference files (for example `references/knowledge-frameworks.md` and `references/modes.md`).
It sits in Product & Project Management, covering Market sizing. The repository describes itself as: Claude-type skills for institutional equity research — 25 AI agent skills with SEC filings, XBRL financials, earnings calendars, DCF/comps/LBO models, and PPT generation. Powered… The licence is Apache-2.0.
When your agent uses it
- Size a therapy area
- Product market before any valuation
Example prompts
- “/med-market-sizing”
Workflow steps
5 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.
- Prevalence/epidemiology: search_documents (epidemiology sources) + read_source_outline / read_source_pages.
- Universe + mechanism: search_universe_drugs / search_universe_devices; search_drug_knowledge / search_drugs_by_indication (spec 054 silver).
- Pricing/coverage: search_sec_filings (net price, GTN) + payer coverage via search_documents.
- Capacity: filings and transcripts (plants, API supply, fill-finish).
- Knowledge: search_investment_strategies / search_investment_cases (sectors=med) for sizing frameworks and prior TAM cases.
What it can do on your machine
Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 86980e1. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.
Tool permissions
Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.
From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.
Runs code
No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md.
From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.
Network
No URLs in SKILL.md.
From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.
Credentials
Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.
From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.
Context cost
Med Market Sizing loads about 1.8k tokens when it runs, and up to ~3k if it reads all its reference files. Until then it costs about 94 tokens; SKILL.md has 678 words of instructions outside code blocks.
Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.
Safety
Auto-check passed
The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.
Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.
SKILL.md
The full file from agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence at commit 86980e1, republished under its Apache-2.0 licence (© agentii-ai). 678 words, ~1,835 tokens.
Download SKILL.mdSave it as
.claude/skills/med-market-sizing/SKILL.md (or your agent's skills folder). This skill also uses 2 other files; get the full folder from GitHub.- name
- med-market-sizing
- description
- Patient-flow market sizing for med products — prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent, priced as price × duration per cohort, with capacity constraints, named historical analog anchoring, and always bull/base/bear named-driver grids. Use to size a therapy area or product market before any valuation or share work.
- sectors
- med.medicines_biotech, med.medical_devices
- multi_ticker_semantics
- single_target
- temporal_scope.default_quarters
- 4
- temporal_scope.max_quarters
- 12
- temporal_scope.description
- Sizing horizon default 4 quarters; up to 12 for capacity and launch ramps.
- retrieval_scope
- unstructured_document_search
- min_tool_diversity
- 3
- parameter_free
- false
Methodology inspired by publicly taught patient-flow sizing approaches; all text is an original paraphrase.
Defaults
| Parameter | Default Value | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| funnel_stages | 7 | prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent |
| affordability_rule | ~10% monthly budget | Income-share rule per cohort and country |
| scenario_grid | bull/base/bear | Never a single point number |
| analog_anchors | named | Statins for penetration, tech S-curves for adoption |
| capacity_state | explicit | Supply-constrained vs demand-limited + flip condition |
Preflight
Run canonical pre-flight per contracts/preflight.md. Include the X-Agentii-Trace header on every tool call per contracts/x-agentii-trace-header.md — carry the _run_id from your first tool result and name yourself (and your parent, if you were spawned). Confirm ticker resolution via search_companies before market queries.
Triggers
- "What is the TAM for [therapy area]?"
- "Size the market for [drug/device] in [indication]."
- "What has to be true for the bear case in [class]?"
- "Walk me through the patient funnel for [indication]."
- "Is [class] supply-constrained or demand-limited?"
- "What capacity ceiling do [company]'s plants impose?"
- "Anchor [class] adoption to a historical analog."
- "Bull/base/bear sizing for [indication] with drivers."
- "How does the income-share rule cap affordability?"
- "What penetration rate is realistic for [class]?"
- "How much API does [class] need per patient-year?"
Production Grounding
- Funnel: prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable (income-share rule, ~10% of monthly budget) → covered → treated → persistent; every stage carries an explicit rate or a
coverage_gap. Price as price × duration per cohort and country; never skip a stage silently. - Capacity check is mandatory: plants × units/yr, API kg/patient/yr, fill-finish lead times. State whether the market is supply-constrained or demand-limited and the condition that flips it.
- Analog anchoring: named historical analogs (statins for penetration, tech S-curves for adoption); every anchor carries its citation.
- Scenario discipline: bull/base/bear with a named-driver assumption grid; uncertainty at market level, POS at asset level; model-vs-consensus delta always explicit; abstain where unquantifiable.
- Badges:
[FACT]/[DEDUCTED]/[VIEW]with the summary table.
Data Source Priority
- Prevalence/epidemiology:
search_documents(epidemiology sources) +read_source_outline/read_source_pages. - Universe + mechanism:
search_universe_drugs/search_universe_devices;search_drug_knowledge/search_drugs_by_indication(spec 054 silver). - Pricing/coverage:
search_sec_filings(net price, GTN) + payer coverage viasearch_documents. - Capacity: filings and transcripts (plants, API supply, fill-finish).
- Knowledge:
search_investment_strategies/search_investment_cases(sectors=med) for sizing frameworks and prior TAM cases.
Methodology
Retrieval Scope
unstructured_document_search
Retrieval Strategy
- Resolve indication and product scope via
search_companies+search_universe_drugs/search_universe_devices. - Collect prevalence/diagnosis rates from epidemiology documents; cite each stage rate.
- Pull pricing (net price, GTN) and coverage evidence from filings and payer documents.
- Pull capacity evidence (plants, API supply, fill-finish) from filings/transcripts.
- Anchor penetration to named analogs; retrieve prior TAM cases (sectors=med); cite /v/ records.
- Build the bull/base/bear grid.
Show full SKILL.md (264 more words)Show less
Temporal Scope
See frontmatter temporal_scope block. Ramp and capacity paths may extend to max_quarters.
Tool Allowlist
See frontmatter allowed_tools.
Protocol
- Indication framing
- Funnel build (stage rates cited or coverage_gap)
- Cohort pricing (price × duration)
- Capacity check + constraint state
- Analog anchoring
- Bull/base/bear grid
Modes
- Drug / biologic (default): prevalence-based funnel with payer/coverage stages.
- Device: placements/procedures and installed-base stages replace script stages.
- Vaccine: healthy-population cohorts, ACIP-gated uptake, procurement value.
- Single indication: one indication × country with full cohort splits.
Tool Fallbacks
| Failure | Fallback |
|---|---|
| Prevalence source absent | coverage_gap at the stage; list required inputs — never fabricate a rate |
| No pricing disclosure | Bracket net price from filings; label [DEDUCTED] / [VIEW] |
| Drug absent from silver layer | Universe + filings; annotate knowledge coverage_gap |
| Capacity undisclosed | State the flip-condition logic qualitatively [VIEW] |
Output File
{ticker}/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_med-market-sizing_{affix}.md (market-level: _sector/{YYYY-MM-DD_HHMM}_med-market-sizing_{affix}.md)
Output Structure
- Executive Summary — TAM stance + constraint state, 2-3 sentences
- Patient-Flow Funnel — stage-by-stage rates, each cited or coverage_gap
- Cohort Pricing — price × duration per cohort/country
- Capacity Check — ceiling + supply-constrained vs demand-limited + flip condition
- Analog Anchors — named penetration/adoption analogs with citations
- Scenario Grid — bull/base/bear with named-driver assumptions
- Coverage Gaps — missing sources and degraded stages
Error Handling
| Error | Fallback |
|---|---|
| Missing prevalence data | coverage_gap at the stage; state the required input — never fabricate a rate |
| Conflicting prevalence sources | Show both with provenance; use the range in the scenario grid |
| No consensus comparator | State model vs consensus as unavailable; keep the bull/base/bear internal consistency |
Memory Load
See contracts/memory-load.md.
Snapshot
See contracts/snapshot-synthesis.md.
Final Summary (TUI)
Include ### Key Citations block with 0-10 clickable /v/ URLs.
References
contracts/citation-and-memory.mdcontracts/output-frontmatter-schema.mdcontracts/memory-load.mdcontracts/snapshot-synthesis.mdcontracts/preflight.mdreferences/knowledge-frameworks.md
© agentii-ai, Apache-2.0. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file
Files
SKILL.md and 2 other files (references) in plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing of agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence.
- SKILL.md
- references/knowledge-frameworks.md
- references/modes.md
Open the folder on GitHubat commit 86980e1
Compare with similar skills
Med Market Sizing next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.
| Skill | Stars | Used in | Tokens | Auto-check | Licence | Repo updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Med Market Sizing this skillagentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence | 207 | — | ~1.8k | Automated safety check: Pass | Apache-2.0 | |
| TAM SAM SOM Calculatordeanpeters/Product-Manager-Skills | 7.2k | 1 repos | ~4.8k | Automated safety check: Pass | Custom licence | |
| Market Sizing Analysisnicepkg/auto-company | 195 | 11 repos | ~3.1k | Automated safety check: Pass | None | |
| Management ConsultantDogInfantry/claude-skill-management-consultant-B1 | 136 | — | ~14k | Automated safety check: Pass | Custom licence | |
| Competitor MapperMaxKmet/idea-validation-agents | 478 | — | ~3.3k | Automated safety check: Pass | MIT | |
| Market Sizing Frameworksslgoodrich/agents | 139 | — | ~3.3k | Automated safety check: Pass | Custom licence |
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Questions about Med Market Sizing
What does Med Market Sizing do?
Patient-flow market sizing for med products — prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent, priced as price × duration per cohort, with capacity constraints…. Med Market Sizing is an agent skill from agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence. Patient-flow market sizing for med products — prevalence → diagnosed → interested → affordable → covered → treated → persistent, priced as price × duration per cohort, with capacity constraints, named historical analog anchoring, and always bull/base/bear named-driver grids.
When should I use Med Market Sizing?
Med Market Sizing fits situations like: size a therapy area; product market before any valuation.
How do I install Med Market Sizing in Claude Code?
Run `npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing in agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence) into .claude/skills/med-market-sizing in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.
How do I install Med Market Sizing in Codex?
Run `npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (plugins/vertical-plugins/bio-pharm/skills/agentii/med-market-sizing in agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence) into .agents/skills/med-market-sizing in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.
Can I use Med Market Sizing in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?
Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence --skill med-market-sizing -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/med-market-sizing, .gemini/skills/med-market-sizing, .github/skills/med-market-sizing and .opencode/skills/med-market-sizing in your project.
What does Med Market Sizing need to run?
SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Med Market Sizing is instructions for the agent only.
Does Med Market Sizing access the network?
SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.
Is Med Market Sizing safe to install?
Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.
What licence does Med Market Sizing use?
Med Market Sizing is published under the Apache-2.0 licence (the repository's licence). It allows redistribution, so the full SKILL.md is shown on this page.
How many tokens does Med Market Sizing use?
About 1.8k tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 7.3k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full. Its references folder adds about 1.2k tokens, read only when the agent opens those files.
What are the alternatives to Med Market Sizing?
Skills that share tags, products or a category with Med Market Sizing: TAM SAM SOM Calculator (deanpeters/Product-Manager-Skills, 7.2k stars), Market Sizing Analysis (nicepkg/auto-company, 195 stars), Management Consultant (DogInfantry/claude-skill-management-consultant-B1, 136 stars) and Competitor Mapper (MaxKmet/idea-validation-agents, 478 stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.
Who maintains Med Market Sizing?
agentii-ai (a GitHub user) maintains it in agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence, which has 207 GitHub stars. The repository holds 79 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on September 29, 2026.
Source: agentii-ai/agentii-investment-intelligence on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.