Agent skill

Deadline Drift

by Superior-Trade in Superior-Trade/superior-skills

A skill your agent uses when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

MITAuto-check passedBusiness, Finance & HR

Install Deadline Drift

skills CLI
$ npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill deadline-drift -a claude-code

Project install by default; add -g for ~/.claude/skills/.

GitHub CLI
$ gh skill install Superior-Trade/superior-skills deadline-drift --agent claude-code

Project scope by default; add --scope user for a personal install. Needs GitHub CLI 2.90.0 or later (public preview).

Manual copy
$ git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Superior-Trade/superior-skills.git skills-src && mkdir -p .claude/skills && cp -r skills-src/skills/deadline-drift .claude/skills/deadline-drift && rm -rf skills-src

Use ~/.claude/skills/ instead of .claude/skills for a personal install. The folder must contain SKILL.md.

Claude Code skills documentation · loads skills from .claude/skills/

Facts

Skill name
deadline-drift
GitHub stars
215
Token cost
~629 tokens
SKILL.md length
274 words
Files
1
Skills in repo
31
Repo updated
First seen
Licence
MIT

At a glance

A skill your agent uses when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

  • Works in 4 steps: Market rules can resolve differently… → Event risk can overwhelm smooth drift… → Short windows overfit to one cycle. → …
  • A Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches
  • SKILL.md covers When to use, What the agent should look for, Backtest fit with filled data and Strategy logic, plus 5 more sections
  • Instructions only: no scripts, shell commands, URLs or credentials in SKILL.md

What it does

Deadline Drift is an agent skill from Superior-Trade/superior-skills. Use when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

Its SKILL.md is about 630 tokens, which your agent loads only when the skill is triggered. It is a single SKILL.md file with no bundled scripts.

It sits in Business, Finance & HR, covering Trading and backtesting. It works with Polymarket. The repository describes itself as: Open agent skills and tool schemas for Superior Trade — build, backtest, and deploy trading strategies on Hyperliquid. The licence is MIT.

When your agent uses it

  • A Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches
  • Tasks that involve Trading and backtesting

Example prompts

  • “/deadline-drift”

Workflow steps

4 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

  1. Market rules can resolve differently than expected.
  2. Event risk can overwhelm smooth drift behavior.
  3. Short windows overfit to one cycle.
  4. Holding through settlement can produce binary outcomes unrelated to interim PnL.

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 9d41db5. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

  • Tool permissions

    Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

    From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

  • Runs code

    No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are json).

    From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

  • Network

    No URLs in SKILL.md.

    From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

  • Credentials

    Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

    From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Deadline Drift loads about 629 tokens when it runs. Until then it costs about 26 tokens; SKILL.md has 274 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it
~26
When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches
~629

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Auto-check passed

The automated check found no risky patterns in SKILL.md.

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from Superior-Trade/superior-skills at commit 9d41db5, republished under its MIT licence (© Superior-Trade). 274 words, ~629 tokens.

Download SKILL.mdSave it as .claude/skills/deadline-drift/SKILL.md (or your agent's skills folder).
name
deadline-drift
description
Use when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.
metadata.version
0.1.0
metadata.updated
2026-06-17

Strategy: Polymarket · Deadline Drift

When to use

Use this for before-date contracts, monthly/weekly threshold markets, election timing markets, or requests where time remaining is the core thesis.

What the agent should look for

  • Canonical Polymarket market from GET /context/markets?venue=polymarket.
  • Reliable market_end from market metadata.
  • Time remaining during the candidate backtest window.
  • Probability drift near deadline in the filled history.
  • Whether the market reprices gradually or with sharp catalyst jumps.
  • User preference for holding to settlement or exiting earlier.

Backtest fit with filled data

Moderate fit. Filled TradeTick data can show whether price drifted in line with deadline pressure and whether exits would usually occur before binary resolution.

Limit: this does not produce true fair-probability forecasts; it only tests historical price behavior around deadlines.

Strategy logic

Enter when drift aligns with time decay or deadline acceleration. Exit before settlement unless the user explicitly asks for binary exposure into resolution.

Nautilus strategy shape

  • Use on_trade_tick.
  • Compare trade timestamp to market_end.
  • Trade only between min_days_to_end and max_days_to_end.
  • Exit using an exit_buffer_hours cutoff.

Example strategyConfig

json
{
  "market_end": "2026-07-01T00:00:00Z",
  "min_days_to_end": 2,
  "max_days_to_end": 21,
  "drift_threshold": 0.015,
  "order_size": 10,
  "exit_buffer_hours": 12
}

Iteration knobs

KnobEffect
min_days_to_endAvoids entering too close to settlement.
max_days_to_endAvoids entering when the deadline is still distant.
drift_thresholdHigher values require stronger deadline repricing.
exit_buffer_hoursLarger buffers reduce resolution timing risk.

Failure modes

  1. Market rules can resolve differently than expected.
  2. Event risk can overwhelm smooth drift behavior.
  3. Short windows overfit to one cycle.
  4. Holding through settlement can produce binary outcomes unrelated to interim PnL.

User-facing framing

"This strategy trades deadline pressure, not certainty. I will backtest on filled TradeTicks to check whether the historical price drift is consistent and tradable, then suggest only cautious position sizing."

© Superior-Trade, MIT. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file

Files

Just SKILL.md in skills/deadline-drift of Superior-Trade/superior-skills.

Open the folder on GitHubat commit 9d41db5

Compare with similar skills

Deadline Drift next to the 5 skills that share the most tags, products or categories with it. Stars are the repository's; “used in” counts other GitHub owners with a copy.

Deadline Drift compared with similar skills
SkillStarsUsed inTokensAuto-checkLicenceRepo updated
Deadline Drift this skillSuperior-Trade/superior-skills215—~629Automated safety check: PassMIT
Digital Oraclekomako-workshop/digital-oracle878—~5.9kAutomated safety check: PassMIT
Polyclawchainstacklabs/polyclaw3591 repos~2kAutomated safety check: PassApache-2.0
Polymarket TradingBlockRunAI/ClawRouter6.6k—~1.4kAutomated safety check: PassMIT
Dr Manhattanguzus/dr-manhattan204—~2kAutomated safety check: PassApache-2.0
Fintoolsecond-state/fintool316—~5.9kAutomated safety check: PassNone

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Works with

Questions about Deadline Drift

What does Deadline Drift do?

A skill your agent uses when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches. Deadline Drift is an agent skill from Superior-Trade/superior-skills. Use when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

When should I use Deadline Drift?

Deadline Drift fits situations like: A Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches; tasks that involve Trading and backtesting.

How do I install Deadline Drift in Claude Code?

Run `npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill deadline-drift -a claude-code`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/deadline-drift in Superior-Trade/superior-skills) into .claude/skills/deadline-drift in your project. Claude Code loads it when a task matches its description.

How do I install Deadline Drift in Codex?

Run `npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill deadline-drift -a codex`. Or copy the skill folder (skills/deadline-drift in Superior-Trade/superior-skills) into .agents/skills/deadline-drift in your project. Codex loads it when a task matches its description.

Can I use Deadline Drift in Cursor, Gemini CLI or GitHub Copilot?

Cursor, Gemini CLI, GitHub Copilot and OpenCode also load SKILL.md folders. With the skills CLI, run `npx skills add Superior-Trade/superior-skills --skill deadline-drift -a cursor` (or -a gemini-cli, github-copilot or opencode for the others). To copy it by hand, put the folder in .cursor/skills/deadline-drift, .gemini/skills/deadline-drift, .github/skills/deadline-drift and .opencode/skills/deadline-drift in your project.

What does Deadline Drift need to run?

SKILL.md names no scripts, command-line tools or credentials: Deadline Drift is instructions for the agent only.

Does Deadline Drift access the network?

SKILL.md contains no URLs. Any network use would come from the scripts or tools the agent runs. This is read from the text; nothing was executed.

Is Deadline Drift safe to install?

Our automated static check of SKILL.md found no risky patterns, such as piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files or hidden Unicode. It is not a guarantee. Review the folder before installing.

What licence does Deadline Drift use?

Deadline Drift is published under the MIT licence (the repository's licence). It allows redistribution, so the full SKILL.md is shown on this page.

How many tokens does Deadline Drift use?

About 629 tokens (SKILL.md is roughly 2.5k characters). Agents keep only the skill's name and description in context until a task matches; then they load SKILL.md in full.

What are the alternatives to Deadline Drift?

Skills that share tags, products or a category with Deadline Drift: Digital Oracle (komako-workshop/digital-oracle, 878 stars), Polyclaw (chainstacklabs/polyclaw, 359 stars), Polymarket Trading (BlockRunAI/ClawRouter, 6.6k stars) and Dr Manhattan (guzus/dr-manhattan, 204 stars). The comparison table on this page puts their stars, adoption, token cost, safety result and licence side by side.

Who maintains Deadline Drift?

Superior-Trade (a GitHub organization) maintains it in Superior-Trade/superior-skills, which has 215 GitHub stars. The repository holds 31 skills in this directory. The repository was last updated on September 10, 2026.

Source: Superior-Trade/superior-skills on GitHub. Facts on this page come from the repository at the commit we read; the author's words are quoted as theirs.