Econ Macro Indicators

What it does

When your agent uses it

• The user needs to evaluate a countrys economic outlook
• Understand monetary/fiscal policy impacts
• Contextualize business decisions within the macroeconomic environment — even if they say is the economy doing well
• What do rising interest rates mean for us

Example prompts

• “is the economy doing well”
• “what do rising interest rates mean for us”
• “explain today”
• “/econ-macro-indicators”

Workflow steps

5 steps, taken from the first numbered list in SKILL.md.

1. 1Gather current data for 5-6 key indicators
2. 2Classify each as leading/coincident/lagging
3. 3Identify trends (improving, stable, deteriorating)
4. 4Check for divergence (leading indicators pointing different direction from lagging = inflection point)
5. 5Assess implications for the specific business/industry context

What it can do on your machine

Read from SKILL.md and the folder at commit 4e7f4f8. It shows what the files ask for, not the result of running them.

• Tool permissions

  Pre-approves nothing: there is no allowed-tools line, so your agent's usual permission prompts apply.

  From allowed-tools in the SKILL.md frontmatter.

• Runs code

  No scripts in the folder and no shell commands in SKILL.md (its code samples are markdown).

  From the folder's file list and the shell code blocks in SKILL.md.

• Network

  No URLs in SKILL.md.

  From URLs in SKILL.md, links to its own repository left out.

• Credentials

  Names no API keys, tokens, secrets or passwords.

  From names ending in _API_KEY, _TOKEN, _SECRET, _KEY or _PASSWORD in SKILL.md.

Context cost

Econ Macro Indicators loads about 1.4k tokens when it runs, and up to ~3.4k if it reads all its reference files. Until then it costs about 125 tokens; SKILL.md has 427 words of instructions outside code blocks.

Always · name and description, kept in context so the agent knows when to use it

~125

When it runs · the whole SKILL.md, loaded when a task matches

~1.4k

With references · SKILL.md plus every file in references/, read only if the agent opens them

~3.4k

Estimates: characters ÷ 4, the usual rule of thumb; real counts depend on the model's tokenizer. Scripts and assets cost tokens only if the agent reads them.

Safety

Automated static check — not a guarantee. Review scripts before installing. It scans the text of SKILL.md for risky patterns (piping downloads into a shell, reading credential files, hidden Unicode, destructive commands); files beside SKILL.md are not scanned.

SKILL.md

The full file from asgard-ai-platform/skills at commit 4e7f4f8, republished under its MIT licence (© asgard-ai-platform). 427 words, ~1,369 tokens.

name

econ-macro-indicators

description

Interpret macroeconomic indicators including GDP, inflation, unemployment, interest rates, and exchange rates to assess economic health and predict trends. Use this skill when the user needs to evaluate a country's economic outlook, understand monetary/fiscal policy impacts, or contextualize business decisions within the macroeconomic environment — even if they say 'is the economy doing well', 'what do rising interest rates mean for us', or 'explain today's economic data'.

metadata.category

WP-17 經濟學院

metadata.tags

economics, macroeconomics, economic-indicators

IRON LAW: Leading, Coincident, or Lagging — Know Which Type

GDP growth is LAGGING — by the time it's published, the economy has already
changed. Stock markets and PMI are LEADING — they predict future direction.
Unemployment is LAGGING — it rises after a recession starts.

Using a lagging indicator to predict the future is looking in the rearview mirror.
Match the indicator type to your analysis purpose.

Central bank raises rates
  → Borrowing costs rise
    → Consumer spending slows + Business investment slows
      → GDP growth slows
        → Unemployment rises (with lag)
          → Inflation falls (the goal)

# Macroeconomic Assessment: {Country/Region}

## Indicator Dashboard
| Indicator | Current | Previous | Trend | Type |
|-----------|---------|----------|-------|------|
| GDP Growth | X% | X% | ↑/↓/→ | Lagging |
| CPI Inflation | X% | X% | ↑/↓/→ | Coincident |
| Unemployment | X% | X% | ↑/↓/→ | Lagging |
| Policy Rate | X% | X% | ↑/↓/→ | — |
| PMI | XX | XX | ↑/↓/→ | Leading |
| Exchange Rate | X.XX | X.XX | ↑/↓/→ | — |

## Economic Phase
{Expansion / Peak / Contraction / Trough}

## Key Signals
- Leading indicators suggest: {direction}
- Divergence: {if any — e.g., PMI falling while GDP still positive = slowdown ahead}

## Business Implications
- For {industry}: {specific impact}

© asgard-ai-platform, MIT. Rendered from Markdown: HTML in the file is shown as text, images as links, and headings moved down two levels. Raw file

Files

SKILL.md and 2 other files (references) in econ-macro-indicators of asgard-ai-platform/skills.

• SKILL.md
• examples/sample_scenario.md
• references/taiwan-data-sources.md

Open the folder on GitHubat commit 4e7f4f8